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Policy & Law

Schools Show Academic Recovery Signs Six Years After COVID Closures, But Millions of Students Remain Behind Pre-Pandemic Levels

Researchers report uneven progress in math and reading as policymakers debate federal education funding priorities for catch-up programs.

⚡ The Bottom Line

While academic recovery is underway, researchers and policymakers agree that pre-pandemic achievement levels remain out of reach for millions of students. The expiration of federal COVID relief funds leaves states and districts facing difficult budget decisions about how to sustain tutoring programs, mental health services, and reduced class sizes without equivalent federal support. Education a...

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New research indicates that American schools are showing signs of academic recovery more than six years after COVID-19 forced widespread classroom closures, though researchers caution that the damage to student achievement remains significant and unevenly distributed across communities.

The findings suggest students have been making incremental progress in both math and reading since the height of pandemic-era learning disruptions, but many still perform below pre-pandemic benchmarks established before schools shuttered in March 2020.

What the Right Is Saying

Conservative critics argue that school closures themselves caused much of the documented learning loss and question whether federal intervention is the appropriate remedy. The American Legislative Exchange Council has promoted state-level solutions, including expanded school choice options that allow parents to redirect education funding toward tutoring services or alternative schooling arrangements.

Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina and other Republican education policymakers have emphasized personal empowerment accounts and micro-grants for families affected by learning disruptions, arguing these approaches give parents more control over remediation decisions.

The Heritage Foundation's Center for Education Policy has published research suggesting that regulatory flexibility for schools, including waivers from federal mandates during recovery periods, produced better outcomes than top-down federal intervention programs.

What the Left Is Saying

Progressive education advocates point to chronic underfunding as a central factor perpetuating student learning gaps. Organizations including the Center for Education Policy at Duke University and the Education Trust have argued that federal COVID relief funds, while substantial, were time-limited and insufficient to address the full scope of pandemic-era learning loss in high-poverty districts.

Democratic lawmakers have emphasized the need for sustained federal investment in Title I programs and tutoring initiatives. Senator Patty Murray of Washington, who chairs the Senate Appropriations Committee, has repeatedly called for doubling funding for evidence-based tutoring programs as part of broader education recovery efforts.

Teacher unions, including the National Education Association and the American Federation of Teachers, have highlighted the need for reduced class sizes and additional support staff to help students experiencing emotional and academic challenges stemming from prolonged isolation during shutdowns.

What the Numbers Show

According to NAEP long-term trend data released in 2024, average fourth-grade math scores remain approximately 8 points below 2019 levels on a 0-500 scale. Fourth-grade reading scores have recovered more substantially but still lag by approximately 5 points from pre-pandemic baselines.

The pandemic's impact fell disproportionately along socioeconomic lines: students in high-poverty schools experienced roughly twice the learning loss of those in affluent districts, according to an analysis by the Annenberg Institute at Brown University.

Federal COVID relief provided approximately $190 billion for K-12 education through the Elementary and Secondary School Emergency Relief (ESSER) fund, the largest single federal investment in public education history. However, most of these funds expired in September 2024.

The National Center for Education Statistics reports that chronic absenteeism—defined as missing at least 10 percent of school days—reached 26 percent nationally in 2022-23, compared to approximately 15 percent before the pandemic.

The Bottom Line

While academic recovery is underway, researchers and policymakers agree that pre-pandemic achievement levels remain out of reach for millions of students. The expiration of federal COVID relief funds leaves states and districts facing difficult budget decisions about how to sustain tutoring programs, mental health services, and reduced class sizes without equivalent federal support.

Education analysts will be watching fall 2026 enrollment data and upcoming NAEP results as key indicators of whether recovery momentum continues or stalls in the absence of emergency funding. The debate over federal versus state-led approaches to closing remaining gaps is expected to feature prominently in education policy discussions ahead of midterm elections.

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