Data & Analysis
Polling, voter data, demographic trends, and statistical analysis
62 articlesMeasuring the electorate through cold hard numbers, demographic shifts, and the predictive power of advanced polling metrics.
Too Close to Call: Maine, Michigan and Nebraska Senate Races Still Undecided
Michigan's Senate race is nearly tied, Sen. Pete Ricketts has retaken the lead in Nebraska and Democrat Troy Jackson leads Sen. Susan Collins in Maine, in NBC News' count.
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GOP Pollster Ruffini Warns Blue Wave May Fall Short Despite Favorable National Environment
Echelon Insights founder argues polls may overstate Democratic gains in deep-red states due to non-response bias and historical convergence patterns.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
Civil Rights Groups Plan Thousands of Polling Place Observers for Midterms
Left-leaning organizations cite concerns over ICE presence, while the DOJ announces its largest-ever observer deployment.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
Polls Show Democratic Edge in Midterms; Paramount-Warner Bros. Merger Set to Close
Cook Political Report forecasts a net gain of five to 15 House seats for Democrats, while the $111 billion media merger clears final regulatory hurdles.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
Poll Shows Raman Leading Bass in LA Mayoral Race; Pratt Claims Prediction Vindicated
New UC Berkeley/LA Times survey finds 11-point gap with 33% of voters undecided, many of whom backed eliminated candidate Spencer Pratt.
Marcus Webb
· 3 min
Poll Shows Decline in Public Trust in Postal Service for Mail-In Ballots
A new survey indicates growing voter concern over the timeliness of USPS delivery for absentee ballots ahead of the 2026 elections.
Marcus Webb
· 3 min
Commentator Outlines Strategies for GOP to Improve Polling Amid Internal Debate
Analysis suggests the party faces a choice between ideological purity and broadening its coalition to reverse recent polling declines.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
Survey: 73 Percent of Americans Say AI Firms Have Not Implemented Enough Safeguards
The Reuters/Ipsos poll indicates widespread public skepticism regarding the safety measures adopted by major artificial intelligence developers.
Marcus Webb
· 3 min
Politico Poll Finds Age and Religion More Significant Than Race or Gender in Voter Preferences
New polling data suggests voters penalize candidates over 70 and transgender individuals, while showing little bias against women or people of color.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
Surveys Show Americans Support Press Freedom but Favor Restrictions in Specific Cases
New polling data reveals a divide on the definition of responsible journalism, with significant support for limiting coverage during national security crises.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
Homan Says No Plans for ICE Sweeps at Polling Locations in Midterms
White House border czar Tom Homan confirmed to Fox News that no operational discussions have taken place regarding immigration enforcement at voting sites.
Marcus Webb
· 2 min
EPA Proposes Weakening Methane Rules for 700,000 Low-Production Oil Wells
The draft rule aims to save industry $42 billion but faces criticism for potentially increasing methane emissions from wells responsible for half the sector's pollution.
Marcus Webb
· 3 min
Poll Finds 9/11 Attacks Ranked as Most Significant Historic Event for Nearly Half of US Adults
Ipsos survey reveals Sept. 11 tops public memory, with 47 percent of respondents citing it as one of the top five historic events of their lifetimes.
Marcus Webb
· 3 min
Women Account for 98 Percent of August Job Gains as Male Employment Falls
US Bureau of Labor Statistics data shows a stark divergence in labor market performance by gender, with male employment declining while female employment surged.
Marcus Webb
· 3 min
Top Commanders Told Hegseth Not to Cut Civilian Protection Program, Poll Showed. He Did It Anyway.
The program was reduced from nearly 200 staff to around two dozen after commanders unanimously rejected cuts, and U.S. strikes in Yemen and Iran subsequently killed hundreds of civilians.
Marcus Webb
· 5 min
Census Bureau Report on Noncitizen Voting Draws Scrutiny Over Think Tank Ties
The statistical analysis linking noncitizens to voter rolls has raised questions about research independence and methodology, according to critics.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
Fake Poll Firm's Admission Puts Polling Industry Under Scrutiny
Median Strategies admits recent Wisconsin gubernatorial primary and Los Angeles mayoral polls were fabricated, raising fresh concerns about polling credibility.
Marcus Webb
· 3 min
Slotkin Asks Hegseth, Caine to Confirm Troops Won't Be Sent to Polling Places
The Michigan Democrat's letters come amid heightened concerns about election security ahead of the 2026 midterm cycle.
Marcus Webb
· 3 min
Fake Polling From Mysterious Company Highlights Danger of Unvetted Election Surveys
Election security experts warn that opaque polling operations with no verifiable methodology can spread misinformation ahead of the 2026 midterms.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
Court Upholds EPA Rule Holding Polluters Accountable for PFAS Cleanup Costs
The ruling formally designates PFOA and PFOS as hazardous substances, enabling the EPA to recover cleanup expenses from manufacturers.
Marcus Webb
· 3 min
DOJ Deploying 1,000 Poll Monitors for Midterm Elections, Official Says
The announcement builds on more than 75 monitors already deployed across five states during primary season.
Marcus Webb
· 3 min
Bogus Poll Showing Bass Leading Raman by Double Digits Was Fabricated, Company Says
Median Strategies acknowledged the Los Angeles mayoral runoff poll showing a wide Bass lead was not conducted as claimed.
Marcus Webb
· 3 min
Polls Everywhere in Primary Season Prompt Questions About Their Accuracy
Election researchers say fewer respondents, volatile voter pools, and changing methodology make primary polling especially difficult to interpret.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
New York Yankees Land $2.6 Billion Financing Deal With Private Equity Company Apollo
Marc Rowan's Apollo Sports Capital provides major capital infusion while Steinbrenner family retains operational control of the 27-time World Series champions.
Marcus Webb
· 3 min
First Polls Close as Progressive Insurgents Eye Midwest Senate Gains
Michigan's Democratic primary between Abdul El-Sayed and Haley Stevens has drawn over $80 million, the most expensive Senate nomination race in party history.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
Counting Noncitizens in Census Undermines America, op-ed Argues
A RealClearPolitics column contends that including noncitizens in the national headcount distorts representation and federal fund distribution.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
Survey Finds 49% of Americans Support U.S. Arresting Netanyahu Under ICC Warrant
The Economist/YouGov poll shows a 22-point gap between support and opposition, with most respondents divided along partisan lines on enforcing the warrant.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
40 Percent Report Buying Less Produce Amid Cyclospora Outbreak: Poll
CBS/YouGov survey finds majority of Americans have not changed produce consumption habits despite food safety concerns.
Marcus Webb
· 3 min
3 in 5 Americans Overestimate How Much Gas Prices Have Risen, Survey Finds
The Politico poll found roughly one-quarter of respondents believed prices in their zip code rose by $3 or more, an increase that has not occurred anywhere in the U.S.
Marcus Webb
· 3 min
Toronto, New York and Washington Top List of Most Polluted Cities as Wildfires Burn
IQAir data shows Canadian wildfire smoke drove hazardous air quality across eastern North America this week, with particulate levels exceeding WHO guidelines by 10 times in some areas.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
Michigan Senate Primary Poll Shows Stevens Leading El-Sayed by 7 Points With Weeks to Go
The Democratic primary, seen as a battle between the progressive wing and party establishment, will determine who faces GOP nominee Mike Rogers in November.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
National Border Patrol Council Backs Paxton for Senate After Previously Endorsing Cornyn
The reversal comes as a new poll shows Democratic candidate James Talarico tied with Paxton at 47% among likely Texas voters, threatening GOP control of the seat.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
Platner Campaign Polls Potential Replacements as Pressure Mounts on Maine Senate Bid
Democratic nominee's team tested head-to-head matchups for five possible successors against Sen. Collins, with internal polling showing the candidate trailing 47 percent to 42 percent.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
Americans' Concerns About AI Outweigh Excitement Nearly Threefold, New Poll Shows
A new biweekly survey from Athena Insights finds 55% express worry about artificial intelligence while just 19% report feeling excited.
Marcus Webb
· 3 min
Poll: 60% of Americans Say Politics Feel Ubiquitous in Spaces Where They Shouldn't Be
The same voters demanding less political intrusion in daily life are heavily influenced when celebrity and athlete statements align with their own views, the POLITICO Poll finds.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
Collins Leading Platner by 3 Points in Fox News Poll
The incumbent Republican holds a narrow edge overall, but the Democrat leads by 9 points among highly motivated voters surveyed.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
Americans inundated with suspected scams, new polls show why few victims report them
About 3 in 10 U.S. adults have personally lost money or information to scams, yet most victims do not contact law enforcement.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
Gallup Poll Shows Record-Low 17% of Americans Report Being 'Very Proud' of US
The finding marks a significant drop from previous years, with partisan divides stark: 92% of Republicans report high patriotism compared to just 36% of Democrats.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
Civil Rights, Moon Landings and War Wins: What Americans See as Country's Greatest Achievements
An NBC News poll found nearly two-thirds of respondents cited events tied to the expansion of rights when asked open-ended about America's top accomplishments.
James Callahan
· 4 min
Louisiana Communities Push Back as Industrial Development Accelerates under Permitting Rollbacks
Environmental justice advocates in the River Parishes region say fast-tracked permits for facilities like the Hyundai steel plant threaten historically Black communities, while economic development supporters point to promised jobs and investment.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
Poll: 80% of Americans Say U.S. Puts Too Little Emphasis on Civic Education
The NBC News survey found bipartisan agreement that civic education is lacking, though trust in institutions remains near historic lows.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
Poll: Americans See Improved Race Relations Since 2020, but Divisions Remain
The NBC News survey finds White and Black Americans remain sharply divided in their views, with 15% of Whites calling relations 'very bad' versus 36% of Blacks.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
Climate Policy Debate Intensifies as Fossil Fuel Use Remains Central to U.S. Energy Mix
Advocates argue current federal energy policy prioritizes short-term industry interests over long-term environmental obligations to future generations, citing polling data and international climate commitments.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
Steve Kornacki Breaks Down America 250 Poll Findings on Meet the Press
NBC political analyst Steve Kornacki examines new polling data as the nation approaches its 250th anniversary milestone, with results showing widespread uncertainty about America's trajectory.
Marcus Webb
· 3 min
Only Half of U.S. Adults Trust the CDC's Public Health Recommendations, Poll Finds
Trust in the agency has dropped 27 percentage points since last year, with declines across nearly all demographic and political groups.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
4 States Head to the Polls Tuesday: Here's What to Watch
Primary elections in four states will test party dynamics ahead of November, with competitive races drawing national attention.
Marcus Webb
· 3 min
AP-NORC Poll Finds Decline in Americans Viewing Democracy as Central to National Identity
Only about two-thirds of U.S. adults now say a democratically elected government is highly important to the country's identity, down from 80% in 2021.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
After Decades of Rising Support, Same-Sex Marriage Acceptance May Be Stalling, Gallup Poll Shows
The 65% support mark represents a notable decline from the 71% recorded in both 2022 and 2023, with most of the change driven by Republicans.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
Oil Field Wastewater Contamination Raises Health Concerns Across Oklahoma
The state, home to over 4 million residents with roughly half living within a mile of oil and gas operations, faces growing calls for regulatory reform.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
Fox News Poll: Majority Describe U.S. Negatively as Nation Approaches 250th Anniversary
The survey finds 58% of voters believe Americans are separated by different values, while 81% still prefer living in the United States over any other country.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
Nearly 6 in 10 Americans Think Prices Will Be Higher a Year from Now: Poll
The Economist/YouGov survey finds persistent inflation concerns as gas prices climb above $4.40 per gallon nationally.
Marcus Webb
· 3 min
Poll Finds Americans Skeptical of AI, Crypto Even as Industries Pour Millions Into Midterms
A 45% plurality say crypto investing is not worth the risk, while two-thirds support stricter AI regulations, according to a new POLITICO Poll.
Marcus Webb
· 4 min
State of the Air Reports Half of U.S. Kids Inhaling Dangerous Pollution
The American Lung Association finds 46% of American children — 33.5 million kids — live in areas with air pollution levels that can pose health risks.
Marcus Webb
· 3 min
20 Percent Say AI Has Taken Over Parts of Their Job: Survey
The Epoch AI/Ipsos poll found 27% of employed AI users report task automation, while half of all U.S. adults now use the technology weekly.
Marcus Webb
· 3 min
Fox News Poll: Record 70% Say Taxes Are Too High, 75% View Government Spending as Wasteful
The annual survey shows the largest year-over-year increase in taxpayers feeling overtaxed since the question was first asked in 2004.
Marcus Webb
· 3 min
About Half of New Yorkers Approve of Early Mamdani Job Performance: Poll
Marist poll shows 48% approval as first democratic socialist mayor approaches 100-day mark, with 55% viewing him favorably and 56% saying city is moving in right direction.
Marcus Webb
· 3 min
Connecticut Democrats Require ID to Recycle Cans While Opposing Voter Citizenship Verification
Emergency law mandates driver's license for large-scale bottle redemptions, while state senators recently voted against federal proof-of-citizenship requirements for voters.
Marcus Webb
· 3 min
Poll Work or Jury Duty? Idaho Bill Would Give People a Choice
The legislation would allow prospective jurors to serve as poll workers instead, addressing shortages that have affected jurisdictions nationwide.
Marcus Webb
· 3 min
Trump More Popular Than Harris, Newsom in New NBC News Survey
President Trump holds 41% favorable rating compared to Harris at 34%, though job approval has dipped according to latest poll.
Marcus Webb
· 3 min