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Congress

Tedford Wins Oklahoma Election to Replace House’s Hern

State Rep. Mark Tedford defeats Democrat John Croisant in the 1st Congressional District, part of a broader midterm shift that projects Democratic control of both chambers.

Chuck Schumer — Chuck Schumer official photo (cropped)
Photo: U.S. Senate Photographic Studio/Jeff McEvoy (Public domain) via Wikimedia Commons
⚡ The Bottom Line

The projected outcomes signal a significant shift in federal power, with Democrats poised to control both chambers of Congress for the first time since the mid-2010s. This change in leadership sets the stage for potential conflicts with the Trump administration on legislative priorities, including economic policy and judicial appointments. Speaker Johnson warned that if the next two years focus...

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Oklahoma state Rep. Mark Tedford (R) is projected to win the state’s 1st Congressional District election, according to Decision Desk HQ. Tedford defeated his Democratic opponent, John Croisant, to fill the seat left open by Rep. Kevin Hern (R-Okla.), who decided to run for Oklahoma’s open Senate seat. This local victory occurred amidst a broader national trend where major news outlets projected that Democrats would retake control of both the House of Representatives and the Senate.

What the Left Is Saying

House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries declared the election results a mandate for change in remarks shortly before 11:30 p.m. ET. "America is back," Jeffries said in Washington, D.C., adding, "Today begins the great American comeback." He stated that House Democrats are committed to making life better for Americans and acknowledged that the election signaled a desire for "transformational change." Jeffries is now poised to become the first Black House speaker.

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer also addressed the projected shift in power, telling Americans, "Relief is on the way." Schumer praised the candidates Democrats recruited in flipped races, noting, "Every one of them that we recruited had great other opportunities, but they ran out of patriotism." He argued that the results reflect a public demand to focus on "costs, chaos, corruption," and urged Republicans to "listen to the American people."

In Kansas, Democratic Party Chair Jeanna Repass cast Adam Hamilton’s projected Senate victory as a direct rebuke of President Donald Trump’s policies. "Trump's policies unleashed economic Armageddon in Kansas with his DOGE cuts and tariffs," Repass told CNBC. She noted that voters consistently raised economic concerns and frustration over political corruption, describing Hamilton as a centrist who would "lead from the middle."

What the Right Is Saying

House Speaker Mike Johnson acknowledged the projected losses in remarks from Shreveport, Louisiana. "It looks like history will be kept tonight," Johnson said, referring to the historical trend of the president’s party losing House seats in midterms. He described himself as "disappointed" but stated, "Republicans will not be deterred by the outcome of one election. In fact, you know what we do? We double down."

President Donald Trump told The New York Times he was "absolutely willing to accept those results" following the projected losses. "We'll work with the Democrats, and we'll, you know, look forward to working with them," Trump said. He attributed the Republican performance partly to his absence from the ballot and expressed no regrets about endorsing specific candidates, such as Darline Graham in South Carolina. "I'm just looking at these results as I'm talking," Trump said. "I see that Darline lost. Wow, that's amazing."

Senate candidate Susan Collins’ camp in Maine acknowledged a "very rough night" for Republicans nationally. Her team described the political environment as "very, very difficult" but expressed confidence that Collins, a 30-year Senate veteran, might be able to "buck how difficult that political environment has been." The race against Democrat Troy Jackson remained uncalled in the source material.

What the Numbers Show

Decision Desk HQ projected Tedford’s victory in Oklahoma's 1st Congressional District. Nationally, CNBC’s Election Desk projected that Democrats would win control of the Senate, holding at least 51 seats. NBC News projected Democratic victories in key races, including Josh Turek defeating Ashley Hinson in Iowa’s Senate race and Rebecca Cooke defeating Derrick Van Orden in Wisconsin’s 3rd Congressional District.

In Ohio, NBC News exit polls indicated a shift in opinion regarding Vice President JD Vance. In 2024, 50% of Ohio voters had a favorable view of Vance compared to 45% unfavorable. In 2026, the numbers flipped, with 53% holding an unfavorable opinion and 44% favorable. Additionally, CBS News projected that Democratic Rep. Shomari Figures retained Alabama's 2nd District despite redistricting that made the seat more competitive.

The Bottom Line

The projected outcomes signal a significant shift in federal power, with Democrats poised to control both chambers of Congress for the first time since the mid-2010s. This change in leadership sets the stage for potential conflicts with the Trump administration on legislative priorities, including economic policy and judicial appointments. Speaker Johnson warned that if the next two years focus on "retribution and lawfare," "every American will suffer," while Democratic leaders emphasized a mandate to address economic costs and corruption. These results are based on projections from multiple news organizations and remain subject to final vote counts.

Sources